Predicting team rankings in team handball: The questionable use of on-court performance statistics

The use of statistical reports to measure on-court performances of team handball players (e.g., number of shots from distances of 6m, 7m, and 9m, turnovers, steals) has become a common practice in professional and amateur leagues. These statistical reports are used by coaches and players to assess defensive and offensive performances demonstrated by the individual player and the entire team during a single game, the entire season, or a number of consecutive seasons. Statistical information on team handball's on-court performances is also used by coaches when preparing the player/team for the upcoming game/s. Quite often, these statistics are used by those professionals who work with the team handball team (e.g., coaches, assistant coaches, and scouts), as well as by journalists representing the written and electronic media, to predict future success and final rankings of the team handball teams. Unfortunately, few studies have examined the relationships between on-court game statistics and predicting final success in team handball, and therefore it is not yet understood whether on-court game statistics can predict a win/loss ratio or the team rankings at the end of a season or a tournament. The purpose of this correlational study was to examine the relationships between a series of team handball on-court performance variables and the final rankings of team handball teams that participated in four European Championships and three World Championships. We used the information gathered from these championships while controlling for multicollinearity. In this presentation we present 1) the descriptive statistics of each on-court performance variable in each of the Championship games, 2) the correlational analyses between each of the on-court performance variables and the final ranking of the teams in each Championship, and 3) the profiles of the on-court performance variables of the best four teams and the worst four teams in each Championship. Based on the data obtained in this study, we elaborate upon the contribution of on-court performance variables to predicting the final rankings of team handball teams.
© Copyright 2014 The 3rd Wingate Congress of Exercise and Sport Sciences. Published by The Wingate Institute for Physical Education and Sport. All rights reserved.

Subjects: handball performance competition observation investigation method statistics relation prognosis
Notations: sport games
Published in: The 3rd Wingate Congress of Exercise and Sport Sciences
Editors: D. Hellerstein, A. Dunsky, Y. Hutzler
Published: Antalya The Wingate Institute for Physical Education and Sport 2014
Pages: 16
Document types: congress proceedings
Language: English
Level: advanced