Markov simulation by numerical derivation in table tennis

This study tries to assess the impact of different tactical behaviors on the winning probability in table tennis by mathematical simulation. Using discrete states of the game and transitions between them by means of the Markov chain model, the numerical derivation of winning probabilities is calculated under assumption of the Markov chain property. The method introduced in this study improves the traditional model by omitting the necessity to perform a second modeling step to define the difficulty of tactical behaviors. Application of our method on table-tennis shows meaningful results like the identification of long rallies as highly influencing stroke types and the effects of risky play on winning probability in different game situations.
© Copyright 2016 Proceedings of the 10th International Symposium on Computer Science in Sports (ISCSS). Published by Springer. All rights reserved.

Subjects: table tennis mathematical statistics simulation tactics prognosis competition
Notations: technical and natural sciences sport games
Published in: Proceedings of the 10th International Symposium on Computer Science in Sports (ISCSS)
Editors: P. Chung, A. Soltoggio, C. W. Dawson, Q. Meng, M. Pain
Published: Cham Springer 2016
Series: Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing, 392
Pages: 161-169
Document types: article
Language: English
Level: advanced