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Compensating tendencies in penalty kick decisions of referees in professional football: Evidence from the German Bundesliga 1963-2006

(Schadensersatztendenzen bei Elfmeterentscheidungen von Schiedsrichtern im Profifußball: Beweise aus der deutschen Bundesliga 1963-2006)

Using a large representative database (12,902 matches from the top professional football league in Germany), I show that the number (441) of two-penalty matches is larger than expected by chance, and that among these 441 matches there are considerably more matches in which each team is awarded one penalty than would be expected on the basis of independent penalty kick decisions (odds ratio = 11.2, relative risk = 6.34). Additional analyses based on the score in the match before a penalty is awarded and on the timing of penalties, suggest that awarding a first penalty to one team raises the referee's penalty evidence criterion for the same team, and lowers the corresponding criterion for the other team.
© Copyright 2011 Journal of Sports Sciences. Taylor & Francis. Alle Rechte vorbehalten.

Schlagworte: Fußball Entscheidungsverhalten Technik Deutschland
Notationen: Spielsportarten
Tagging: Bundesliga
DOI: 10.1080/02640414.2010.538711
Veröffentlicht in: Journal of Sports Sciences
Veröffentlicht: 2011
Jahrgang: 29
Heft: 5
Seiten: 441-447
Dokumentenarten: Artikel
Sprache: Englisch
Level: hoch